Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 3.443513 3.841925 4.274099 4.778741 5.353107 5.987949 6.744772
2025-02-23 2.881411 3.418415 4.043503 4.828862 5.794769 6.950994 8.450413
2025-03-02 2.443346 3.029877 3.748520 4.701636 5.944181 7.525106 9.714475
2025-03-09 2.158963 2.773867 3.559065 4.647531 6.136639 8.130824 11.051678
2025-03-16 1.937535 2.564483 3.393439 4.586680 6.288380 8.671302 12.338780
2025-03-23 1.837898 2.501388 3.407940 4.760514 6.768039 9.703859 14.448085
2025-03-30 1.698451 2.366734 3.305650 4.750202 6.969557 10.340460 16.027640
2025-04-06 1.571008 2.235792 3.193464 4.708398 7.110349 10.888028 17.522221
2025-04-13 1.405898 2.035348 2.960798 4.458497 6.895675 10.841587 18.008618
2025-04-20 1.326045 1.955231 2.900763 4.469098 7.094418 11.482220 19.754309
2025-04-27 1.274116 1.912917 2.893922 4.561490 7.433224 12.389593 22.095677
2025-05-04 1.224435 1.869745 2.881153 4.640782 7.754090 13.295816 24.555837
2025-05-11 1.170523 1.817555 2.852327 4.694699 8.043928 14.194316 27.169799
2025-05-18 1.119244 1.765933 2.820359 4.740055 8.322870 15.105886 29.957370
2025-05-25 1.041795 1.665459 2.698673 4.614805 8.270183 15.369783 31.410478
2025-06-01 0.984044 1.594072 2.621082 4.561711 8.347473 15.895771 33.513643
2025-06-08 0.930241 1.525823 2.543880 4.502123 8.404641 16.384423 35.605259
2025-06-15 0.916436 1.525881 2.586905 4.672263 8.937566 17.933138 40.461982
2025-06-22 0.876701 1.477465 2.538987 4.662169 9.098061 18.694470 43.518418
2025-06-29 0.835610 1.424050 2.478182 4.621254 9.188626 19.309096 46.305412
2025-07-06 0.770057 1.322564 2.321835 4.376642 8.817388 18.824826 46.107736
2025-07-13 0.742438 1.289257 2.291772 4.387020 9.006510 19.672894 49.685397
2025-07-20 0.726521 1.276680 2.300228 4.477460 9.383342 21.017001 54.914804